Analysis

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Price and energy
NZDUSD from 0.5604 to 0.55961, down 0.14%
Market Energy Bear Bias -24.1% to Bear Bias -38.6%, down 14.5 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.19%0.05%0.06%0.14%
Energy43.220.114.914.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.19% 0.05% 0.06% 0.14% 43.2 20.1 14.9 14.5
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.14% — higher than 80% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 14.5 pts — higher than 67% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias NZDUSD 1H

Sample: 72,900 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-18
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 5,755 times

When NZDUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then NZDUSD moved to higher Market State: 4,017 times69.8%
  • then NZDUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,738 times30.2%

Current NZDUSD market energy: -38.56%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 17.68%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 21.44%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

NZDUSD · H1 · 2025-11-25 06:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-24.1%
Bear Bias
-38.6%
Bear Bias
-39.2%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

NZDUSD recorded in Bear Bias of Market Energy as the 1H candle ended.

Market energy movement Market Energy at -38.6%, down -14.5% from -24.1% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 3 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NZDUSD Market Energy ranged from -51.2 to +70.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NZDUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 13:00 on 25-11-2025 closed, NZDUSD was at 0.55961, down 0.14% from the previous candle (0.5604). Market Energy was -38.6%, down 14.5 points from -24.1%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did NZDUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

NZDUSD closed at 0.55961, down 0.14% from the previous 1H candle (0.5604). This drop is larger than 80% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for NZDUSD, across 42,983 candles since 2019.

How did NZDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 14.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -24.1% to -38.6%. This drop is larger than 67% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for NZDUSD.

Do NZDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NZDUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had NZDUSD at -24.1%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does NZDUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -38.6%, NZDUSD is 17.68 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 21.44 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 0.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -7.8%. Against this backdrop, NZDUSD (Bear Bias, -38.6%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 30.2%. NZDUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NZDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NZDUSD on the NZDUSD overview →

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