Analysis

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Price and energy
NZDUSD from 0.56614 to 0.56354, down 0.46%
Market Energy Neutral 13.0% to Bear Extreme -77.6%, down 90.6 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.02%0.09%0.04%0.46%
Energy1.326.312.390.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.02% 0.09% 0.04% 0.46% 1.3 26.3 12.3 90.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.46% — higher than 99% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 90.6 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme NZDUSD 1H

Sample: 72,900 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-18
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 1,026 times

When NZDUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then NZDUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,026 times100%
  • then NZDUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current NZDUSD market energy: -77.61%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 3.11%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 22.39%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

NZDUSD · H1 · 2025-11-06 14:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
13.0%
Neutral
-77.6%
Bear Extreme
-90.2%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Right as the 1H candle closes, NZDUSD reflects Bear energy at Extreme.

Market movement after the 1H candle closes, Market Energy at -77.6%, down -90.6% from 13% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NZDUSD Market Energy ranged from -77.7 to +63.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NZDUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 21:00 on 06-11-2025 closed, NZDUSD was at 0.56354, down 0.46% from the previous candle (0.56614). Market Energy was -77.6%, down 90.6 points from 13%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did NZDUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

NZDUSD closed at 0.56354, down 0.46% from the previous 1H candle (0.56614). This drop is larger than 99% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for NZDUSD, across 42,679 candles since 2019.

How did NZDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 90.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 13% to -77.6%. This is the largest of all drops on the 1H timeframe for NZDUSD on record since 2019.

Do NZDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NZDUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had NZDUSD at 13%, Neutral — when this candle closed, NZDUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Extreme.

Where does NZDUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -77.6%, NZDUSD is 3.11 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 22.39 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -98.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -95.9%. Against this backdrop, NZDUSD (Bear Extreme, -77.6%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -17.7%. NZDUSD energy is currently below DXY by 59.9 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NZDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NZDUSD on the NZDUSD overview →

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