Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
NZDJPY from 85.5775 to 82.3885, down 3.73%
Market Energy Bull Bias 37.0% to Bear Extreme -78.1%, down 115.1 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 1.32%▲ 1.91%▼ 1.79%▼ 3.73%
Energy▲ 9.5▲ 41.3▼ 21.2▼ 115.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 1.32%▲ 1.91%▼ 1.79%▼ 3.73%▲ 9.5▲ 41.3▼ 21.2▼ 115.1
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 3.73% — higher than 98% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 115.1 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme NZDJPY Weekly

Sample: 718 Weekly candles from 2016-04-21 to 2026-09-28
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 20 times

▸When NZDJPY is in Bear Extreme:

  • then NZDJPY moved to higher Market State: 20 times — 100%
  • then NZDJPY moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current NZDJPY market energy: -78.1%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 3.6%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 21.9%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

NZDJPY · W1 · 2022-09-19 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
37.0%
Bull Bias
-78.1%
Bear Extreme
-92.5%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the Weekly data updates, Market NZDJPY in the Bear Extreme zone.

Market movement just recorded on the Weekly timeframe, Market Energy dropped -115.1% from the previous session, from 37% to -78.1%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 Weekly Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NZDJPY price and energy show when this Weekly candle closed?

When the Weekly candle at 07:00 on 19-09-2022 closed, NZDJPY was at 82.3885, down 3.73% from the previous candle (85.5775). Market Energy was -78.1%, down 115.1 points from 37%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did NZDJPY price move on this Weekly candle, and how large is that historically?

NZDJPY closed at 82.3885, down 3.73% from the previous Weekly candle (85.5775). This drop is larger than 98% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for NZDJPY, across 229 candles since 2019.

How did NZDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 115.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 37% to -78.1%. This is the largest of all drops on the Weekly timeframe for NZDJPY on record since 2019.

Do NZDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NZDJPY in on the previous Weekly candle?

The previous Weekly candle had NZDJPY at 37%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, NZDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does NZDJPY energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -78.1%, NZDJPY is 3.6 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 21.9 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 52.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 46.8%. Against this backdrop, NZDJPY (Bear Extreme, -78.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -38.9%. NZDJPY (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NZDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NZDJPY on the NZDJPY overview →

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