Analysis

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Price and energy
NEARUSD from 2.01 to 2.045, up 1.74%
Market Energy Bull Bias 45.3% to Bull Bias 47.9%, up 2.6 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price3.02%0.99%1.23%1.74%
Energy8.29.520.32.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
3.02% 0.99% 1.23% 1.74% 8.2 9.5 20.3 2.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 1.74% — higher than 64% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 2.6 pts — higher than 17% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias NEARUSD 4H

Sample: 12,939 4H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 986 times

When NEARUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 343 times34.8%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 643 times65.2%

Current NEARUSD market energy: 47.9%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 12.1%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 27.02%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H4 · 2026-07-03 20:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
45.3%
Bull Bias
47.9%
Bull Bias
34.8%
Bull Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The Bull Bias level is the result just recorded for NEARUSD after the 4H candle closed.

Market energy measurement Market Energy moved from 45.3% to 47.9%, up +2.6% from the previous candle.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -42.4 to +77.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 03:00 on 04-07-2026 closed, NEARUSD was at 2.045, up 1.74% from the previous candle (2.01). Market Energy was 47.9%, up 2.6 points from 45.3%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 2.045, up 1.74% from the previous 4H candle (2.01). This rise is larger than 64% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 12,531 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 2.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 45.3% to 47.9%. This rise is larger than 17% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NEARUSD at 45.3%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 47.9%, NEARUSD is 12.1 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 27.02 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 36.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 69.8%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Bull Bias, 47.9%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 27.1%. NEARUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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