Analysis

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Price and energy
NEARUSD from 1.798 to 1.782, down 0.89%
Market Energy Bear Bias -39.9% to Bear Bias -42.4%, down 2.5 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.65%3.14%0.56%0.89%
Energy5.139.00.82.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.65% 3.14% 0.56% 0.89% 5.1 39.0 0.8 2.5
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.89% — higher than 39% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 2.5 pts — higher than 16% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias NEARUSD 4H

Sample: 12,938 4H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 997 times

When NEARUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 667 times66.9%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 330 times33.1%

Current NEARUSD market energy: -42.42%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 21.54%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 17.58%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H4 · 2026-06-30 20:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-39.9%
Bear Bias
-42.4%
Bear Bias
7.8%
Neutral
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The system just recorded NEARUSD in the Bear Bias state after the 4H candle closed.

On the measurement side, Compared to the previous candle (-39.9%), Market Energy dropped -2.5% to -42.4%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -62.4 to +23.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 03:00 on 01-07-2026 closed, NEARUSD was at 1.782, down 0.89% from the previous candle (1.798). Market Energy was -42.4%, down 2.5 points from -39.9%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 1.782, down 0.89% from the previous 4H candle (1.798). This drop is larger than 39% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 12,513 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 2.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -39.9% to -42.4%. This drop is larger than 16% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NEARUSD at -39.9%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -42.4%, NEARUSD is 21.54 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 17.58 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 6.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 50.7%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Bear Bias, -42.4%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -61.8%. NEARUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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