Analysis

·

Price and energy
NEARUSD from 1.388 to 1.345, down 3.10%
Market Energy Bull Critical 66.1% to Bull Bias 30.9%, down 35.2 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.28%2.09%1.46%3.10%
Energy9.217.14.835.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.28% 2.09% 1.46% 3.10% 9.2 17.1 4.8 35.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 3.10% — higher than 83% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 35.2 pts — higher than 90% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias NEARUSD 4H

Sample: 12,945 4H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 986 times

When NEARUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 343 times34.8%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 643 times65.2%

Current NEARUSD market energy: 30.9%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 29.1%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 10.02%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H4 · 2026-03-13 04:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
66.1%
Bull Critical
30.9%
Bull Bias
17.1%
Neutral
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle closes, NEARUSD reflects the energy zone leaning Bull.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system Market Energy dropped -35.2% from the previous session, from 66.1% to 30.9%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -45.8 to +66.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 11:00 on 13-03-2026 closed, NEARUSD was at 1.345, down 3.1% from the previous candle (1.388). Market Energy was 30.9%, down 35.2 points from 66.1%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 1.345, down 3.1% from the previous 4H candle (1.388). This drop is larger than 83% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 11,855 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 35.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 66.1% to 30.9%. This drop is larger than 90% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NEARUSD at 66.1%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, NEARUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bull Bias.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 30.9%, NEARUSD is 29.1 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 10.02 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -23.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 16%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Bull Bias, 30.9%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 74.7%. NEARUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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