Analysis

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Price and energy
NEARUSD from 1.367 to 1.338, down 2.12%
Market Energy Bull Bias 31.8% to Neutral 12.0%, down 19.8 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.51%2.72%2.01%2.12%
Energy4.44.44.519.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.51% 2.72% 2.01% 2.12% 4.4 4.4 4.5 19.8
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 2.12% — higher than 72% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 19.8 pts — higher than 77% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral NEARUSD 4H

Sample: 12,948 4H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-09-11
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,172 times

When NEARUSD is in Neutral:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 586 times50%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 586 times50%

Current NEARUSD market energy: 11.95%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 8.93%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 32.83%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H4 · 2026-03-04 08:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
31.8%
Bull Bias
12.0%
Neutral
9.4%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, NEARUSD within the balanced Market Energy zone.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, A -19.8% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 12% (previous: 31.8%).

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -10.7 to +97.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 15:00 on 04-03-2026 closed, NEARUSD was at 1.338, down 2.12% from the previous candle (1.367). Market Energy was 12%, down 19.8 points from 31.8%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 1.338, down 2.12% from the previous 4H candle (1.367). This drop is larger than 72% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 11,802 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 19.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 31.8% to 12%. This drop is larger than 77% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NEARUSD at 31.8%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, NEARUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 12%, NEARUSD is 8.93 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 32.83 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 37.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 12.9%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Neutral, 12%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -31.6%. NEARUSD energy is currently above DXY by 43.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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