Analysis

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Price and energy
NEARUSD from 1.683 to 1.715, up 1.90%
Market Energy Neutral -18.2% to Neutral 3.7%, up 22.0 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price2.00%1.09%1.98%1.90%
Energy24.716.136.522.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
2.00% 1.09% 1.98% 1.90% 24.7 16.1 36.5 22.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 1.90% — higher than 67% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 22.0 pts — higher than 80% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral NEARUSD 4H

Sample: 12,948 4H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-09-11
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,172 times

When NEARUSD is in Neutral:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 586 times50%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 586 times50%

Current NEARUSD market energy: 3.74%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 17.14%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 24.62%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H4 · 2026-01-12 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-18.2%
Neutral
3.7%
Neutral
3.6%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

From the just-closed 4H candle data, NEARUSD in the balanced Market Energy state.

Meanwhile, The energy level rose +22%: from -18.2% now at 3.7%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -33.6 to +34.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 19:00 on 12-01-2026 closed, NEARUSD was at 1.715, up 1.9% from the previous candle (1.683). Market Energy was 3.7%, up 22.0 points from -18.2%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 1.715, up 1.9% from the previous 4H candle (1.683). This rise is larger than 67% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 11,497 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 22 percentage points from the previous candle — from -18.2% to 3.7%. This rise is larger than 80% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NEARUSD at -18.2%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 3.7%, NEARUSD is 17.14 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 24.62 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 100%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Neutral, 3.7%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -55%. NEARUSD energy is currently above DXY by 58.7 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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NEARUSD 4H — Neutral 3.7%, rising · 2026-01-12