Analysis

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Price and energy
NEARUSD from 1.748 to 1.72, down 1.60%
Market Energy Bull Bias 51.9% to Neutral 7.7%, down 44.2 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.23%3.76%2.51%1.60%
Energy3.032.427.144.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.23% 3.76% 2.51% 1.60% 3.0 32.4 27.1 44.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.60% — higher than 61% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 44.2 pts — higher than 93% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral NEARUSD 4H

Sample: 12,948 4H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-09-11
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,172 times

When NEARUSD is in Neutral:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 586 times50%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 586 times50%

Current NEARUSD market energy: 7.66%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 13.22%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 28.54%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H4 · 2026-01-05 08:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
51.9%
Bull Bias
7.7%
Neutral
24.4%
Bull Bias
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

From the just-closed 4H candle data, NEARUSD in the Neutral level.

On the measurement side, Market Energy dropped -44.2% from the previous candle, from 51.9% to 7.7%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -46.9 to +93.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 15:00 on 05-01-2026 closed, NEARUSD was at 1.72, down 1.6% from the previous candle (1.748). Market Energy was 7.7%, down 44.2 points from 51.9%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 1.72, down 1.6% from the previous 4H candle (1.748). This drop is larger than 61% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 11,454 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 44.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 51.9% to 7.7%. This drop is larger than 93% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NEARUSD at 51.9%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, NEARUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 7.7%, NEARUSD is 13.22 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 28.54 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 15.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 93.4%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Neutral, 7.7%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 57.6%. NEARUSD energy is currently below DXY by 49.9 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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