Analysis

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Price and energy
NEARUSD from 1.629 to 1.637, up 0.49%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 84.0% to Bull Critical 69.7%, down 14.3 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.87%1.78%1.63%0.49%
Energy4.72.69.814.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.87% 1.78% 1.63% 0.49% 4.7 2.6 9.8 14.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.49% — higher than 22% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 14.3 pts — higher than 66% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical NEARUSD 4H

Sample: 12,956 4H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-09-12
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 532 times

When NEARUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 125 times23.5%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 407 times76.5%

Current NEARUSD market energy: 69.67%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 4.83%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 9.67%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H4 · 2026-01-02 08:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
84.0%
Bull Extreme
69.7%
Bull Critical
58.1%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the 4H candle closes, NEARUSD currently in the near-peak Bull energy zone.

Market movement just recorded on the 4H timeframe, Market Energy dropped -14.3% this candle, currently 69.7% (previous candle 84%).

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -59.5 to +93.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 15:00 on 02-01-2026 closed, NEARUSD was at 1.637, up 0.49% from the previous candle (1.629). Market Energy was 69.7%, down 14.3 points from 84%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 1.637, up 0.49% from the previous 4H candle (1.629). This rise is larger than 22% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 11,436 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 14.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 84% to 69.7%. This drop is larger than 66% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

No. Price moved up while energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NEARUSD at 84%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, NEARUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 69.7%, NEARUSD is 4.83 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 9.67 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 88.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 67.2%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Bull Critical, 69.7%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 75.7%. NEARUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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