Analysis

·

Price and energy
NEARUSD from 2.534 to 2.488, down 1.82%
Market Energy Bull Critical 60.5% to Bull Bias 44.6%, down 15.9 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price3.40%5.31%2.18%1.82%
Energy22.930.043.915.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
3.40% 5.31% 2.18% 1.82% 22.9 30.0 43.9 15.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.82% — higher than 65% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 15.9 pts — higher than 69% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias NEARUSD 4H

Sample: 12,951 4H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 987 times

When NEARUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 343 times34.8%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 644 times65.2%

Current NEARUSD market energy: 44.59%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 15.41%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 23.71%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H4 · 2025-11-15 08:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
60.5%
Bull Critical
44.6%
Bull Bias
31.2%
Bull Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, Market NEARUSD in energy leaning Bull.

On trend energy, Energy delta -15.9%: Market Energy at 44.6%, previously 60.5%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -72.9 to +60.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 15:00 on 15-11-2025 closed, NEARUSD was at 2.488, down 1.82% from the previous candle (2.534). Market Energy was 44.6%, down 15.9 points from 60.5%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 2.488, down 1.82% from the previous 4H candle (2.534). This drop is larger than 65% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 11,148 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 15.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 60.5% to 44.6%. This drop is larger than 69% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NEARUSD at 60.5%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, NEARUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bull Bias.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 44.6%, NEARUSD is 15.41 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 23.71 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 56.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 50.2%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Bull Bias, 44.6%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 23.7%. NEARUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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