Analysis

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Price and energy
NEARUSD from 3.009 to 2.811, down 6.58%
Market Energy Bull Critical 73.0% to Bull Critical 63.1%, down 9.9 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price2.82%1.00%12.99%6.58%
Energy10.45.84.19.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
2.82% 1.00% 12.99% 6.58% 10.4 5.8 4.1 9.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 6.58% — higher than 97% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 9.9 pts — higher than 52% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical NEARUSD 4H

Sample: 12,956 4H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-09-12
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 532 times

When NEARUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 125 times23.5%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 407 times76.5%

Current NEARUSD market energy: 63.14%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 11.36%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 3.14%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H4 · 2025-11-08 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
73.0%
Bull Critical
63.1%
Bull Critical
57.1%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, NEARUSD within the Bull Critical zone.

The NEARUSD market at session end, Energy delta -9.9%: Market Energy at 63.1%, previously 73%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -78 to +94.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 19:00 on 08-11-2025 closed, NEARUSD was at 2.811, down 6.58% from the previous candle (3.009). Market Energy was 63.1%, down 9.9 points from 73%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 2.811, down 6.58% from the previous 4H candle (3.009). This drop is larger than 97% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 11,107 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 9.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 73% to 63.1%. This drop is larger than 52% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NEARUSD at 73%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 63.1%, NEARUSD is 11.36 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 3.14 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 99.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 98.6%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Bull Critical, 63.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -31.8%. NEARUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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