Analysis

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Price and energy
NEARUSD from 2.927 to 2.839, down 3.01%
Market Energy Bull Bias 57.4% to Neutral -1.6%, down 59.1 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price3.44%1.30%0.85%3.01%
Energy51.40.814.759.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
3.44% 1.30% 0.85% 3.01% 51.4 0.8 14.7 59.1
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 3.01% — higher than 82% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 59.1 pts — higher than 96% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral NEARUSD 4H

Sample: 12,954 4H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-09-12
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,174 times

When NEARUSD is in Neutral:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 587 times50%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 587 times50%

Current NEARUSD market energy: -1.62%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 22.5%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 19.26%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H4 · 2025-07-18 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
57.4%
Bull Bias
-1.6%
Neutral
-42.1%
Bear Bias
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

From the just-closed 4H candle data, NEARUSD noted at the neutral energy state.

On the energy side, Market Energy dropped -59.1% from the previous session, from 57.4% to -1.6%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -20.5 to +85.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 19:00 on 18-07-2025 closed, NEARUSD was at 2.839, down 3.01% from the previous candle (2.927). Market Energy was -1.6%, down 59.1 points from 57.4%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 2.839, down 3.01% from the previous 4H candle (2.927). This drop is larger than 82% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 10,429 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 59.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 57.4% to -1.6%. This drop is larger than 96% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NEARUSD at 57.4%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, NEARUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -1.6%, NEARUSD is 22.5 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 19.26 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -11.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -78%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Neutral, -1.6%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -89%. NEARUSD energy is currently above DXY by 87.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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