Analysis

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Price and energy
NEARUSD from 2.161 to 2.247, up 3.98%
Market Energy Neutral 8.1% to Bull Bias 57.3%, up 49.2 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.19%1.36%0.32%3.98%
Energy2.728.31.549.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.19% 1.36% 0.32% 3.98% 2.7 28.3 1.5 49.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 3.98% — higher than 88% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 49.2 pts — higher than 94% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias NEARUSD 4H

Sample: 12,957 4H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-09-12
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 988 times

When NEARUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 343 times34.7%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 645 times65.3%

Current NEARUSD market energy: 57.32%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 2.68%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 36.44%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H4 · 2025-07-08 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
8.1%
Neutral
57.3%
Bull Bias
69.2%
Bull Critical
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, NEARUSD reflects the Bull Bias level.

On the energy side, Market Energy rose +49.2% this candle, currently 57.3% (previous candle 8.1%).

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -64.6 to +57.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 08-07-2025 closed, NEARUSD was at 2.247, up 3.98% from the previous candle (2.161). Market Energy was 57.3%, up 49.2 points from 8.1%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 2.247, up 3.98% from the previous 4H candle (2.161). This rise is larger than 88% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 10,370 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 49.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 8.1% to 57.3%. This rise is larger than 94% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NEARUSD at 8.1%, Neutral — when this candle closed, NEARUSD moved up to a higher zone: Neutral → Bull Bias.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 57.3%, NEARUSD is 2.68 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 36.44 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -10.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 68%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Bull Bias, 57.3%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 35.3%. NEARUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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