Analysis

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Price and energy
NEARUSD from 2.243 to 2.172, down 3.17%
Market Energy Neutral -1.1% to Bear Bias -35.9%, down 34.8 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.02%0.09%1.41%3.17%
Energy2.42.112.734.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.02% 0.09% 1.41% 3.17% 2.4 2.1 12.7 34.8
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 3.17% — higher than 83% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 34.8 pts — higher than 90% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias NEARUSD 4H

Sample: 12,956 4H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-09-12
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 998 times

When NEARUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 668 times66.9%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 330 times33.1%

Current NEARUSD market energy: -35.9%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 15.02%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 24.1%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H4 · 2025-07-04 04:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-1.1%
Neutral
-35.9%
Bear Bias
-39.7%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, NEARUSD noted at the Bear Bias energy level.

On the measurement side, Compared to the previous candle (-1.1%), Market Energy dropped -34.8% to -35.9%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -39.9 to +97.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 11:00 on 04-07-2025 closed, NEARUSD was at 2.172, down 3.17% from the previous candle (2.243). Market Energy was -35.9%, down 34.8 points from -1.1%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 2.172, down 3.17% from the previous 4H candle (2.243). This drop is larger than 83% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 10,343 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 34.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -1.1% to -35.9%. This drop is larger than 90% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NEARUSD at -1.1%, Neutral — when this candle closed, NEARUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -35.9%, NEARUSD is 15.02 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 24.1 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -10.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -72%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Bear Bias, -35.9%) has higher energy than GER40; lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 20.6%. NEARUSD energy is currently below DXY by 56.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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