Analysis

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Price and energy
NEARUSD from 2.774 to 2.765, down 0.32%
Market Energy Bear Critical -70.4% to Bear Critical -66.5%, up 3.9 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowEnergy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.09%0.43%0.75%0.32%
Energy0.40.20.53.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.09% 0.43% 0.75% 0.32% 0.4 0.2 0.5 3.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.32% — higher than 15% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 3.9 pts — higher than 25% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical NEARUSD 4H

Sample: 12,957 4H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-09-12
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 513 times

When NEARUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 381 times74.3%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 132 times25.7%

Current NEARUSD market energy: -66.46%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 6.46%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 8.04%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H4 · 2025-05-25 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-70.4%
Bear Critical
-66.5%
Bear Critical
-65.4%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 4H candle, NEARUSD within the Bear Critical state.

On the energy side, The energy level rose +3.9%: from -70.4% now at -66.5%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -77.2 to +81.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 07:00 on 25-05-2025 closed, NEARUSD was at 2.765, down 0.32% from the previous candle (2.774). Market Energy was -66.5%, up 3.9 points from -70.4%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 2.765, down 0.32% from the previous 4H candle (2.774). This drop is larger than 15% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 10,102 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 3.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -70.4% to -66.5%. This rise is larger than 25% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price decline with energy moving the other way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NEARUSD at -70.4%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -66.5%, NEARUSD is 6.46 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 8.04 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -40.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -65.6%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Bear Critical, -66.5%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -60.1%. NEARUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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