Analysis

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Price and energy
NEARUSD from 2.783 to 2.733, down 1.80%
Market Energy Neutral 6.0% to Neutral -9.9%, down 15.9 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.04%1.77%1.24%1.80%
Energy2.38.37.115.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.04% 1.77% 1.24% 1.80% 2.3 8.3 7.1 15.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.80% — higher than 64% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 15.9 pts — higher than 69% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral NEARUSD 4H

Sample: 12,954 4H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-09-12
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,174 times

When NEARUSD is in Neutral:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 587 times50%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 587 times50%

Current NEARUSD market energy: -9.91%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 30.79%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 10.97%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H4 · 2025-05-20 08:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
6.0%
Neutral
-9.9%
Neutral
-15.1%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Measurement result after the 4H candle closes, NEARUSD recorded in the Neutral energy zone.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy reading dropped -15.9%, moving from 6% to -9.9% after the 4H candle.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 11 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -90 to +80.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 15:00 on 20-05-2025 closed, NEARUSD was at 2.733, down 1.8% from the previous candle (2.783). Market Energy was -9.9%, down 15.9 points from 6%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 2.733, down 1.8% from the previous 4H candle (2.783). This drop is larger than 64% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 10,074 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 15.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 6% to -9.9%. This drop is larger than 69% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NEARUSD at 6%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -9.9%, NEARUSD is 30.79 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 10.97 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -22.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -18%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Neutral, -9.9%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -71.5%. NEARUSD energy is currently above DXY by 61.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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