Analysis

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Price and energy
NEARUSD from 5.856 to 5.59, down 4.54%
Market Energy Neutral 2.7% to Bear Extreme -79.5%, down 82.2 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.08%0.20%1.79%4.54%
Energy10.44.138.182.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.08% 0.20% 1.79% 4.54% 10.4 4.1 38.1 82.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 4.54% — higher than 92% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 82.2 pts — higher than 99% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme NEARUSD 4H

Sample: 12,957 4H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-09-12
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 287 times

When NEARUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 287 times100%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current NEARUSD market energy: -79.55%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 5.05%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 20.45%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H4 · 2025-01-07 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
2.7%
Neutral
-79.5%
Bear Extreme
-97.3%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The Extreme state of Bear determined for NEARUSD through the 4H candle data.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy reading dropped -82.2%, moving from 2.7% to -79.5% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -79.5 to +99.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 19:00 on 07-01-2025 closed, NEARUSD was at 5.59, down 4.54% from the previous candle (5.856). Market Energy was -79.5%, down 82.2 points from 2.7%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 5.59, down 4.54% from the previous 4H candle (5.856). This drop is larger than 92% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 9,277 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 82.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 2.7% to -79.5%. This drop is larger than 99% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NEARUSD at 2.7%, Neutral — when this candle closed, NEARUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Extreme.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -79.5%, NEARUSD is 5.05 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 20.45 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 43.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 77.1%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Bear Extreme, -79.5%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 64.4%. NEARUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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