Analysis

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Price and energy
LTCUSD from 57.14 to 56.13, down 1.77%
Market Energy Bear Bias -24.0% to Bear Critical -61.6%, down 37.5 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.60%0.40%0.63%1.77%
Energy1.09.25.737.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.60% 0.40% 0.63% 1.77% 1.0 9.2 5.7 37.5
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.77% — higher than 79% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 37.5 pts — higher than 88% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical LTCUSD 4H

Sample: 19,153 4H candles from 2017-12-13 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 841 times

When LTCUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then LTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 627 times74.6%
  • then LTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 214 times25.4%

Current LTCUSD market energy: -61.58%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 1.58%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 12.92%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

LTCUSD · H4 · 2026-05-16 04:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-24.0%
Bear Bias
-61.6%
Bear Critical
-70.4%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The Bear Critical energy zone recorded from just-completed 4H candle data for LTCUSD.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, Energy delta -37.5%: Market Energy at -61.6%, previously -24%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, LTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -93.7 to +75.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did LTCUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 11:00 on 16-05-2026 closed, LTCUSD was at 56.13, down 1.77% from the previous candle (57.14). Market Energy was -61.6%, down 37.5 points from -24%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did LTCUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

LTCUSD closed at 56.13, down 1.77% from the previous 4H candle (57.14). This drop is larger than 79% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for LTCUSD, across 16,149 candles since 2019.

How did LTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 37.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -24% to -61.6%. This drop is larger than 88% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for LTCUSD.

Do LTCUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was LTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had LTCUSD at -24%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, LTCUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does LTCUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -61.6%, LTCUSD is 1.58 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 12.92 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -50.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -64%. Against this backdrop, LTCUSD (Bear Critical, -61.6%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 30.1%. LTCUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for LTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for LTCUSD on the LTCUSD overview →

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