Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
EURUSD from 1.1794 to 1.1796, up 0.02%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 79.2% to Bull Critical 73.9%, down 5.2 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.13%▲ 0.19%▼ 0.09%▲ 0.02%
Energy▼ 3.6▲ 6.7▼ 10.7▼ 5.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.13%▲ 0.19%▼ 0.09%▲ 0.02%▼ 3.6▲ 6.7▼ 10.7▼ 5.2
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.02% — higher than 10% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 5.2 pts — higher than 33% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical EURUSD 4H

Sample: 21,425 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-09
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 643 times

▸When EURUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 181 times — 28.1%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 462 times — 71.9%

▸Current EURUSD market energy: 73.92%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 0.58%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 13.92%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · H4 · 2026-04-14 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
79.2%
Bull Extreme
73.9%
Bull Critical
69.2%
Bull Critical
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Once measurement on the 4H timeframe completes, EURUSD classified as the Bull Critical level.

On the energy side, Market Energy dropped -5.2% this candle, currently 73.9% (previous candle 79.2%).

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from +17 to +89.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 15-04-2026 closed, EURUSD was at 1.1796, up 0.02% from the previous candle (1.1794). Market Energy was 73.9%, down 5.2 points from 79.2%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did EURUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURUSD closed at 1.1796, up 0.02% from the previous 4H candle (1.1794). This rise is larger than 10% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD, across 11,340 candles since 2019.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 5.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 79.2% to 73.9%. This drop is larger than 33% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD.

Do EURUSD price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price rise with energy moving the other way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURUSD at 79.2%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, EURUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 73.9%, EURUSD is 0.58 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 13.92 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 95.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 35.8%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Bull Critical, 73.9%) has higher energy than GER40; lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -0.7%. EURUSD energy is currently above DXY by 74.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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