Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
EURUSD from 1.1686 to 1.1721, up 0.30%
Market Energy Bull Bias 37.6% to Bull Bias 58.9%, up 21.3 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.09%▲ 0.04%▼ 0.05%▲ 0.30%
Energy▼ 12.3▼ 2.8▼ 4.9▲ 21.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.09%▲ 0.04%▼ 0.05%▲ 0.30%▼ 12.3▼ 2.8▼ 4.9▲ 21.3
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.30% — higher than 91% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 21.3 pts — higher than 81% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias EURUSD 4H

Sample: 21,425 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-09
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,619 times

▸When EURUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 488 times — 30.1%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,131 times — 69.9%

▸Current EURUSD market energy: 58.88%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 1.12%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 38%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · H4 · 2026-04-10 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
37.6%
Bull Bias
58.9%
Bull Bias
61.2%
Bull Critical
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle closes, EURUSD classified as the Bull Bias energy state.

Market movement after the 4H candle closes, The energy level rose +21.3%: from 37.6% now at 58.9%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 5 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from -35.7 to +89.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 10-04-2026 closed, EURUSD was at 1.1721, up 0.3% from the previous candle (1.1686). Market Energy was 58.9%, up 21.3 points from 37.6%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did EURUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURUSD closed at 1.1721, up 0.3% from the previous 4H candle (1.1686). This rise is larger than 91% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD, across 11,326 candles since 2019.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 21.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 37.6% to 58.9%. This rise is larger than 81% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD.

Do EURUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURUSD at 37.6%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 58.9%, EURUSD is 1.12 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 38 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -4.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 31.5%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Bull Bias, 58.9%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -90.1%. EURUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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