Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
EURUSD from 1.0306 to 1.0398, up 0.89%
Market Energy Neutral -3.1% to Bull Critical 72.6%, up 75.7 pts
Up candle #4 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.19%▲ 0.11%▲ 0.03%▲ 0.89%
Energy▲ 13.2▲ 12.6▲ 7.1▲ 75.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.19%▲ 0.11%▲ 0.03%▲ 0.89%▲ 13.2▲ 12.6▲ 7.1▲ 75.7
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.89% — largest on record (since 2019)
0%255075100%
Energy up 75.7 pts — higher than 99% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical EURUSD 4H

Sample: 21,419 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-08
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 643 times

▸When EURUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 181 times — 28.1%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 462 times — 71.9%

▸Current EURUSD market energy: 72.64%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 1.86%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 12.64%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · H4 · 2025-01-20 10:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live EURUSD chart →
Market Energy
-3.1%
Neutral
72.6%
Bull Critical
68.9%
Bull Critical
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, EURUSD reflects the Bull Critical zone.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, The energy level rose +75.7%: from -3.1% now at 72.6%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from -36 to +72.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 17:00 on 20-01-2025 closed, EURUSD was at 1.0398, up 0.89% from the previous candle (1.0306). Market Energy was 72.6%, up 75.7 points from -3.1%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did EURUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURUSD closed at 1.0398, up 0.89% from the previous 4H candle (1.0306). This is the largest of all rises on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD on record since 2019.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 75.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -3.1% to 72.6%. This rise is larger than 99% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD.

Do EURUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURUSD at -3.1%, Neutral — when this candle closed, EURUSD moved up to a higher zone: Neutral → Bull Critical.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 72.6%, EURUSD is 1.86 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 12.64 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 36.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 9.4%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Bull Critical, 72.6%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 50.4%. EURUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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