Analysis

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Price and energy
EURUSD from 1.0944 to 1.0906, down 0.35%
Market Energy Neutral -14.5% to Bear Bias -53.7%, down 39.2 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.35% — higher than 93% of past drops
Energy down 39.2 pts — higher than 92% of past drops
Volatility trend · last 4 candlespriceenergy
0.000.070.100.353.53.149.439.2-3-2-1nến này
EURUSD hub
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias EURUSD 4H

Sample: 21,245 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-08-28
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,670 times

When EURUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,150 times68.9%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 520 times31.1%

Current EURUSD market energy: -53.67%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 32.79%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 6.33%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · H4 · 2024-10-10 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-14.5%
Neutral
-53.7%
Bear Bias
-28.6%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 4H candle, EURUSD noted at energy leaning Bear.

Market trend energy Market trend energy recorded a -39.2% drop from the previous candle, from -14.5% to -53.7%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from -80.9 to +13.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was EURUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 10-10-2024 closed, EURUSD was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -53.7%, controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 39.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -14.5% to -53.7%.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURUSD at -14.5%, Neutral — when this candle closed, EURUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -53.7%, EURUSD is 32.79 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 6.33 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -64.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -79.6%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Bear Bias, -53.7%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -20.3%. EURUSD energy is currently below DXY by 33.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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