Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
EURUSD from 1.0806 to 1.0808, up 0.02%
Market Energy Bear Critical -62.3% to Bear Critical -65.5%, down 3.3 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.20%▲ 0.14%▼ 0.19%▲ 0.02%
Energy▼ 18.9▲ 7.9▼ 6.1▼ 3.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.20%▲ 0.14%▼ 0.19%▲ 0.02%▼ 18.9▲ 7.9▼ 6.1▼ 3.3
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.02% — higher than 11% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 3.3 pts — higher than 23% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical EURUSD 4H

Sample: 21,409 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 752 times

▸When EURUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 539 times — 71.7%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 213 times — 28.3%

▸Current EURUSD market energy: -65.55%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 5.55%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 8.95%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · H4 · 2024-03-22 17:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-62.3%
Bear Critical
-65.5%
Bear Critical
-65.7%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Once measurement on the 4H timeframe completes, EURUSD recorded in Bear trend energy near extreme.

At the 4H session close, Market Energy dropped -3.3% this candle, currently -65.5% (previous candle -62.3%).

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from -78.5 to +96.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 23-03-2024 closed, EURUSD was at 1.0808, up 0.02% from the previous candle (1.0806). Market Energy was -65.5%, down 3.3 points from -62.3%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did EURUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURUSD closed at 1.0808, up 0.02% from the previous 4H candle (1.0806). This rise is larger than 11% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD, across 8,142 candles since 2019.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 3.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -62.3% to -65.5%. This drop is larger than 23% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD.

Do EURUSD price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price rise with energy moving the other way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURUSD at -62.3%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -65.5%, EURUSD is 5.55 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 8.95 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 15.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 82.6%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Bear Critical, -65.5%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 54.5%. EURUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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