Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
EURUSD from 1.1643 to 1.1636, down 0.06%
Market Energy Neutral -1.8% to Neutral -17.8%, down 16.0 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.05%▼ 0.08%▲ 0.01%▼ 0.06%
Energy▼ 9.1▼ 28.9▼ 3.6▼ 16.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.05%▼ 0.08%▲ 0.01%▼ 0.06%▼ 9.1▼ 28.9▼ 3.6▼ 16.0
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.06% — higher than 47% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 16.0 pts — higher than 71% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral EURUSD 4H

Sample: 21,418 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-08
Number of Neutral occurrences: 2,135 times

▸When EURUSD is in Neutral:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,060 times — 49.6%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,075 times — 50.4%

▸Current EURUSD market energy: -17.77%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 38.65%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 3.11%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · H4 · 2021-10-21 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-1.8%
Neutral
-17.8%
Neutral
-37.0%
Bear Bias
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

EURUSD processing result: balanced trend energy after the 4H candle closed.

Market movement just recorded on the 4H timeframe, Market Energy dropped -16% from the previous session, from -1.8% to -17.8%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from -45.6 to +75.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 21-10-2021 closed, EURUSD was at 1.1636, down 0.06% from the previous candle (1.1643). Market Energy was -17.8%, down 16.0 points from -1.8%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did EURUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURUSD closed at 1.1636, down 0.06% from the previous 4H candle (1.1643). This drop is larger than 47% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD, across 4,367 candles since 2019.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 16 percentage points from the previous candle — from -1.8% to -17.8%. This drop is larger than 71% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD.

Do EURUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURUSD at -1.8%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -17.8%, EURUSD is 38.65 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 3.11 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 64.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 21.4%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Neutral, -17.8%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -63.2%. EURUSD energy is currently above DXY by 45.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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