Analysis

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EURUSD is currently leaning slightly toward sellers, energy -17.9%. This still sits in the Neutral zone — the probability of a clear trend is not yet defined.

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Neutral EURUSD 4H

Sample: 21,220 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-08-24
Number of Neutral occurrences: 2,119 times

When EURUSD is in Neutral:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,054 times49.7%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,065 times50.3%

Current EURUSD market energy: -17.87%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 38.75%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 3.01%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · H4 · 2021-09-21 17:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-11.5%
Neutral
-17.9%
Neutral
-23.7%
Bear Bias
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, EURUSD in the Neutral energy zone.

Market energy measurement Market trend energy recorded a -6.4% drop from the previous candle, from -11.5% to -17.9%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 4 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from -92.8 to +4.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was EURUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 22-09-2021 closed, EURUSD was in Neutral with Market Energy -17.9%, the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 6.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -11.5% to -17.9%.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURUSD at -11.5%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -17.9%, EURUSD is 38.75 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 3.01 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -64.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -18.1%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Neutral, -17.9%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 35.8%. EURUSD energy is currently below DXY by 53.7 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. Method: see Guide.

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