Analysis

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EURUSD is currently leaning slightly toward buyers, energy +20.0%. This still sits in the Neutral zone — the probability of a clear trend is not yet defined.

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Neutral EURUSD 4H

Sample: 21,232 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-08-26
Number of Neutral occurrences: 2,121 times

When EURUSD is in Neutral:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,054 times49.7%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,067 times50.3%

Current EURUSD market energy: 20.04%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 0.84%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 40.92%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · H4 · 2021-07-12 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
49.7%
Bull Bias
20.0%
Neutral
9.5%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 4H candle, Result for EURUSD: the neutral energy zone.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy dropped -29.6% this candle, currently 20% (previous candle 49.7%).

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from -70.3 to +65.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was EURUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 12-07-2021 closed, EURUSD was in Neutral with Market Energy 20%, the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 29.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 49.7% to 20%.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURUSD at 49.7%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, EURUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 20%, EURUSD is 0.84 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 40.92 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -49.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -21.2%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Neutral, 20%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 53.4%. EURUSD energy is currently below DXY by 33.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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