Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
EURUSD from 1.1728 to 1.1745, up 0.15%
Market Energy Neutral -9.8% to Neutral 15.8%, up 25.6 pts
Up candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.01%▼ 0.12%▲ 0.10%▲ 0.15%
Energy▼ 5.9▼ 10.2▲ 5.3▲ 25.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.01%▼ 0.12%▲ 0.10%▲ 0.15%▼ 5.9▼ 10.2▲ 5.3▲ 25.6
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.15% — higher than 75% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 25.6 pts — higher than 86% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral EURUSD 4H

Sample: 21,418 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-08
Number of Neutral occurrences: 2,135 times

▸When EURUSD is in Neutral:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,060 times — 49.6%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,075 times — 50.4%

▸Current EURUSD market energy: 15.75%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 5.13%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 36.63%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · H4 · 2021-04-01 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-9.8%
Neutral
15.8%
Neutral
52.8%
Bull Bias
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, EURUSD classified as the zone between Bull and Bear energy.

Market energy movement The energy level rose +25.6%: from -9.8% now at 15.8%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 8 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from -77.7 to +15.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 01-04-2021 closed, EURUSD was at 1.1745, up 0.15% from the previous candle (1.1728). Market Energy was 15.8%, up 25.6 points from -9.8%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did EURUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURUSD closed at 1.1745, up 0.15% from the previous 4H candle (1.1728). This rise is larger than 75% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD, across 3,496 candles since 2019.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 25.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -9.8% to 15.8%. This rise is larger than 86% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD.

Do EURUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURUSD at -9.8%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 15.8%, EURUSD is 5.13 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 36.63 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 90.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 83.9%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Neutral, 15.8%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -56.2%. EURUSD energy is currently above DXY by 71.9 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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