Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
EURUSD from 1.1407 to 1.1412, up 0.04%
Market Energy Bull Bias 28.8% to Neutral 19.3%, down 9.4 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.37%▼ 0.02%▼ 0.24%▲ 0.04%
Energy▲ 3.9▲ 3.3▼ 48.4▼ 9.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.37%▼ 0.02%▼ 0.24%▲ 0.04%▲ 3.9▲ 3.3▼ 48.4▼ 9.4
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.04% — higher than 34% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 9.4 pts — higher than 55% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral EURUSD 4H

Sample: 21,418 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-08
Number of Neutral occurrences: 2,135 times

▸When EURUSD is in Neutral:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,060 times — 49.6%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,075 times — 50.4%

▸Current EURUSD market energy: 19.35%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 1.53%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 40.23%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · H4 · 2020-07-15 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
28.8%
Bull Bias
19.3%
Neutral
21.9%
Bull Bias
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Measurement result after the 4H candle closes, Market Energy of EURUSD indicates Neutral.

Market trend update: Market Energy dropped -9.4% this candle, currently 19.3% (previous candle 28.8%).

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from -7 to +80.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 16-07-2020 closed, EURUSD was at 1.1412, up 0.04% from the previous candle (1.1407). Market Energy was 19.3%, down 9.4 points from 28.8%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did EURUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURUSD closed at 1.1412, up 0.04% from the previous 4H candle (1.1407). This rise is larger than 34% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD, across 2,394 candles since 2019.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 9.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 28.8% to 19.3%. This drop is larger than 55% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD.

Do EURUSD price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price rise with energy moving the other way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURUSD at 28.8%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, EURUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 19.3%, EURUSD is 1.53 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 40.23 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -40.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 21.2%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Neutral, 19.3%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 70.8%. EURUSD energy is currently below DXY by 51.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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