Analysis

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EURUSD is currently controlled by sellers, in the Bear Critical zone. Measured energy: -62.6%.

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Bear Critical EURUSD 4H

Sample: 21,215 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-08-21
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 735 times

When EURUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 524 times71.3%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 211 times28.7%

Current EURUSD market energy: -62.55%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 2.55%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 11.95%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · H4 · 2018-02-21 02:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-60.8%
Bear Critical
-62.6%
Bear Critical
-47.9%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, EURUSD noted at the near-peak Bear energy state.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Compared to the previous candle (-60.8%), Market Energy dropped -1.8% to -62.6%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from -84 to +70.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was EURUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 09:00 on 21-02-2018 closed, EURUSD was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -62.6%, controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 1.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -60.8% to -62.6%.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURUSD at -60.8%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -62.6%, EURUSD is 2.55 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 11.95 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -25.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 3.6%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Bear Critical, -62.6%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 9.9%. EURUSD energy is currently below DXY by 72.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. Method: see Guide.

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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