Analysis

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EURUSD is currently leaning slightly toward buyers, energy +10.2%. This still sits in the Neutral zone — the probability of a clear trend is not yet defined.

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Neutral EURUSD 4H

Sample: 21,226 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-08-25
Number of Neutral occurrences: 2,120 times

When EURUSD is in Neutral:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,054 times49.7%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,066 times50.3%

Current EURUSD market energy: 10.15%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 10.73%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 31.03%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · H4 · 2015-01-13 02:00 UTC
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Market Energy
20.0%
Neutral
10.2%
Neutral
-18.5%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Reading from the 4H candle, EURUSD within the balanced Market Energy state.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, A -9.8% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 10.2% (previous: 20%).

Time in Neutral energy zone: 6 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from -64 to +43.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was EURUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 09:00 on 13-01-2015 closed, EURUSD was in Neutral with Market Energy 10.2%, the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 9.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 20% to 10.2%.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURUSD at 20%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 10.2%, EURUSD is 10.73 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 31.03 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -54.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 8.5%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Neutral, 10.2%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 52.5%. EURUSD energy is currently below DXY by 42.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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