Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
EURUSD from 1.1646 to 1.165, up 0.04%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 82.5% to Bull Critical 74.3%, down 8.1 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.07%▲ 0.03%▼ 0.01%▲ 0.04%
Energy▲ 8.3▲ 4.8▼ 8.4▼ 8.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.07%▲ 0.03%▼ 0.01%▲ 0.04%▲ 8.3▲ 4.8▼ 8.4▼ 8.1
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.04% — higher than 53% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 8.1 pts — higher than 53% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical EURUSD 1H

Sample: 73,259 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-10-08
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 2,095 times

▸When EURUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 598 times — 28.5%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,497 times — 71.5%

▸Current EURUSD market energy: 74.34%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 0.16%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 14.34%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · H1 · 2021-10-19 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
82.5%
Bull Extreme
74.3%
Bull Critical
60.3%
Bull Critical
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

EURUSD classified into Bull trend energy near extreme after the 1H candle completed.

Meanwhile, Market Energy dropped -8.1% this candle, currently 74.3% (previous candle 82.5%).

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from -63.7 to +90.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 12:00 on 19-10-2021 closed, EURUSD was at 1.165, up 0.04% from the previous candle (1.1646). Market Energy was 74.3%, down 8.1 points from 82.5%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did EURUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURUSD closed at 1.165, up 0.04% from the previous 1H candle (1.1646). This rise is larger than 53% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for EURUSD, across 17,429 candles since 2019.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 8.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 82.5% to 74.3%. This drop is larger than 53% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for EURUSD.

Do EURUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price rose but energy fell — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had EURUSD at 82.5%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, EURUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 74.3%, EURUSD is 0.16 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 14.34 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 67.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 44.2%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Bull Critical, 74.3%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -77.1%. EURUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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