Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
ETHUSD from 2,811.95 to 2,284.75, down 18.75%
Market Energy Bear Bias -47.4% to Bear Extreme -91.4%, down 44.0 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.82%▲ 7.13%▼ 15.75%▼ 18.75%
Energy▲ 5.5▲ 30.3▼ 42.9▼ 44.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.82%▲ 7.13%▼ 15.75%▼ 18.75%▲ 5.5▲ 30.3▼ 42.9▼ 44.0
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 18.75% — higher than 92% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 44.0 pts — higher than 89% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme ETHUSD Weekly

Sample: 476 Weekly candles from 2017-08-21 to 2026-09-28
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 10 times

▸When ETHUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then ETHUSD moved to higher Market State: 10 times — 100%
  • then ETHUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current ETHUSD market energy: -91.4%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 16.9%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 8.6%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

ETHUSD · W1 · 2026-01-26 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live ETHUSD chart →
Market Energy
-47.4%
Bear Bias
-91.4%
Bear Extreme
-89.4%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Per 2AiTrading Market Energy model, ETHUSD on Weekly is in bear extreme with energy -91.4. Energy changed -44 from previous candle.

ETHUSD on Weekly timeframe is currently in bear extreme state, as measured by 2AiTrading's Market Energy model. Market Energy reads -91.4, indicating the current level of control between Buyers and Sellers.

Market context
Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ETHUSD price and energy show when this Weekly candle closed?

When the Weekly candle at 07:00 on 26-01-2026 closed, ETHUSD was at 2,284.75, down 18.75% from the previous candle (2,811.95). Market Energy was -91.4%, down 44.0 points from -47.4%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did ETHUSD price move on this Weekly candle, and how large is that historically?

ETHUSD closed at 2,284.75, down 18.75% from the previous Weekly candle (2,811.95). This drop is larger than 92% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for ETHUSD, across 369 candles since 2019.

How did ETHUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 44 percentage points from the previous candle — from -47.4% to -91.4%. This drop is larger than 89% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for ETHUSD.

Do ETHUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ETHUSD in on the previous Weekly candle?

The previous Weekly candle had ETHUSD at -47.4%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, ETHUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does ETHUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -91.4%, ETHUSD is 16.9 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 8.6 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -10.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -43.6%. Against this backdrop, ETHUSD (Bear Extreme, -91.4%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -85.2%. ETHUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ETHUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ETHUSD on the ETHUSD overview →

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