Analysis

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ETHUSD is currently leaning slightly toward buyers, energy +11.4%. This still sits in the Neutral zone — the probability of a clear trend is not yet defined.

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Neutral ETHUSD 4H

Sample: 19,758 4H candles from 2017-08-17 to 2026-08-25
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,726 times

When ETHUSD is in Neutral:

  • then ETHUSD moved to higher Market State: 917 times53.1%
  • then ETHUSD moved to lower Market State: 809 times46.9%

Current ETHUSD market energy: 11.39%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 9.49%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 32.27%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

ETHUSD · H4 · 2026-08-16 08:00 UTC
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Market Energy
17.0%
Neutral
11.4%
Neutral
31.4%
Bull Bias
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Observing the completed 4H candle, ETHUSD within the balanced energy zone.

Market trend update: Market Energy dropped -5.6% from the previous session, from 17% to 11.4%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 4 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ETHUSD Market Energy ranged from -53.4 to +82.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was ETHUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 15:00 on 16-08-2026 closed, ETHUSD was in Neutral with Market Energy 11.4%, the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How did ETHUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 5.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 17% to 11.4%.

What state was ETHUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ETHUSD at 17%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does ETHUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 11.4%, ETHUSD is 9.49 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 32.27 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -73.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 7.9%. Against this backdrop, ETHUSD (Neutral, 11.4%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 35.7%. ETHUSD energy is currently below DXY by 24.3 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

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