Analysis

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ETHUSD is currently controlled by sellers, in the Bear Bias zone. Measured energy: -26.1%.

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Bear Bias ETHUSD 4H

Sample: 19,752 4H candles from 2017-08-17 to 2026-08-24
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,476 times

When ETHUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then ETHUSD moved to higher Market State: 968 times65.6%
  • then ETHUSD moved to lower Market State: 508 times34.4%

Current ETHUSD market energy: -26.12%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 5.24%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 33.88%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

ETHUSD · H4 · 2026-08-11 20:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-39.1%
Bear Bias
-26.1%
Bear Bias
-19.4%
Neutral
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, ETHUSD shows the energy zone leaning Bear.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market Energy rose +13% from the previous session, from -39.1% to -26.1%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 4 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ETHUSD Market Energy ranged from -96.4 to +61.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was ETHUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 03:00 on 12-08-2026 closed, ETHUSD was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -26.1%, controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How did ETHUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 13 percentage points from the previous candle — from -39.1% to -26.1%.

What state was ETHUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ETHUSD at -39.1%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does ETHUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -26.1%, ETHUSD is 5.24 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 33.88 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -69.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 1.5%. Against this backdrop, ETHUSD (Bear Bias, -26.1%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -21.8%. ETHUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ETHUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. Method: see Guide.

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ETHUSD on the ETHUSD overview →

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