Analysis

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ETHUSD is currently controlled by sellers, in the Bear Critical zone. Measured energy: -71.0%.

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Bear Critical ETHUSD 4H

Sample: 19,751 4H candles from 2017-08-17 to 2026-08-24
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 869 times

When ETHUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then ETHUSD moved to higher Market State: 632 times72.7%
  • then ETHUSD moved to lower Market State: 237 times27.3%

Current ETHUSD market energy: -71.03%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 11.03%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 3.47%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

ETHUSD · H4 · 2026-07-31 20:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-71.9%
Bear Critical
-71.0%
Bear Critical
-65.9%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Once measurement on the 4H timeframe completes, ETHUSD noted at Bear energy near extreme.

On trend energy, Market Energy rose +0.9% from the previous session, from -71.9% to -71%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ETHUSD Market Energy ranged from -79.9 to +90.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was ETHUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 03:00 on 01-08-2026 closed, ETHUSD was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -71%, controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How did ETHUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 0.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -71.9% to -71%.

What state was ETHUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ETHUSD at -71.9%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does ETHUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -71%, ETHUSD is 11.03 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 3.47 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 45%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -23.1%. Against this backdrop, ETHUSD (Bear Critical, -71%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -66.9%. ETHUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ETHUSD.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ETHUSD on the ETHUSD overview →

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