Analysis

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Price and energy
ETHUSD from 4,018.38 to 4,016.43, down 0.05%
Market Energy Bull Bias 32.2% to Neutral 14.5%, down 17.7 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.20%0.20%0.11%0.05%
Energy12.910.99.417.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.20% 0.20% 0.11% 0.05% 12.9 10.9 9.4 17.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.05% — higher than 9% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 17.7 pts — higher than 70% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral ETHUSD 1H

Sample: 79,495 1H candles from 2017-08-17 to 2026-09-16
Number of Neutral occurrences: 7,393 times

When ETHUSD is in Neutral:

  • then ETHUSD moved to higher Market State: 3,793 times51.3%
  • then ETHUSD moved to lower Market State: 3,600 times48.7%

Current ETHUSD market energy: 14.54%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 6.34%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 35.42%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

ETHUSD · H1 · 2025-09-28 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
32.2%
Bull Bias
14.5%
Neutral
-58.3%
Bear Bias
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Following the completion of the 1H candle, ETHUSD currently in the Neutral level.

The energy side shows Market Energy at 14.5%, down -17.7% from 32.2% in the previous candle.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ETHUSD Market Energy ranged from -93 to +95.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ETHUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 07:00 on 28-09-2025 closed, ETHUSD was at 4,016.43, down 0.05% from the previous candle (4,018.38). Market Energy was 14.5%, down 17.7 points from 32.2%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did ETHUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

ETHUSD closed at 4,016.43, down 0.05% from the previous 1H candle (4,018.38). This drop is larger than 9% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for ETHUSD, across 59,029 candles since 2019.

How did ETHUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 17.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 32.2% to 14.5%. This drop is larger than 70% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for ETHUSD.

Do ETHUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ETHUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had ETHUSD at 32.2%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, ETHUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does ETHUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 14.5%, ETHUSD is 6.34 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 35.42 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 50.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 61.5%. Against this backdrop, ETHUSD (Neutral, 14.5%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -53.4%. ETHUSD energy is currently above DXY by 68 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ETHUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ETHUSD on the ETHUSD overview →

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