Analysis

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Price and energy
DOTUSD from 3.908 to 3.854, down 1.38%
Market Energy Bear Critical -68.0% to Bear Extreme -76.8%, down 8.8 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price2.82%0.84%1.44%1.38%
Energy56.010.86.28.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
2.82% 0.84% 1.44% 1.38% 56.0 10.8 6.2 8.8
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.38% — higher than 64% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 8.8 pts — higher than 49% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme DOTUSD 4H

Sample: 13,284 4H candles from 2020-08-19 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 317 times

When DOTUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then DOTUSD moved to higher Market State: 317 times100%
  • then DOTUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current DOTUSD market energy: -76.82%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 2.32%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 23.18%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

DOTUSD · H4 · 2025-08-11 20:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-68.0%
Bear Critical
-76.8%
Bear Extreme
-70.2%
Bear Critical
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 4H candle, DOTUSD in the Bear Extreme level.

Meanwhile, Compared to the previous candle (-68%), Market Energy dropped -8.8% to -76.8%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DOTUSD Market Energy ranged from -85 to +96.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did DOTUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 03:00 on 12-08-2025 closed, DOTUSD was at 3.854, down 1.38% from the previous candle (3.908). Market Energy was -76.8%, down 8.8 points from -68%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did DOTUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

DOTUSD closed at 3.854, down 1.38% from the previous 4H candle (3.908). This drop is larger than 64% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD, across 10,913 candles since 2019.

How did DOTUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 8.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -68% to -76.8%. This drop is larger than 49% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD.

Do DOTUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was DOTUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had DOTUSD at -68%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, DOTUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Critical → Bear Extreme.

Where does DOTUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -76.8%, DOTUSD is 2.32 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 23.18 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -46.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -35.9%. Against this backdrop, DOTUSD (Bear Extreme, -76.8%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 55.2%. DOTUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DOTUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DOTUSD on the DOTUSD overview →

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