Analysis

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Price and energy
DOTUSD from 4.101 to 4, down 2.46%
Market Energy Bull Bias 59.5% to Bear Extreme -76.1%, down 135.6 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.47%0.69%0.22%2.46%
Energy41.222.47.5135.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.47% 0.69% 0.22% 2.46% 41.2 22.4 7.5 135.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 2.46% — higher than 96% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 135.6 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme DOTUSD 1H

Sample: 53,156 1H candles from 2020-08-19 to 2026-09-12
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 1,073 times

When DOTUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then DOTUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,073 times100%
  • then DOTUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current DOTUSD market energy: -76.1%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 1.6%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 23.9%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

DOTUSD · H1 · 2025-04-04 10:00 UTC
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Market Energy
59.5%
Bull Bias
-76.1%
Bear Extreme
-68.8%
Bear Critical
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Right as the 1H candle closes, DOTUSD recorded in the peak Bear energy level.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system Market trend energy recorded a -135.6% drop from the previous candle, from 59.5% to -76.1%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DOTUSD Market Energy ranged from -91.6 to +97.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did DOTUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 17:00 on 04-04-2025 closed, DOTUSD was at 4, down 2.46% from the previous candle (4.101). Market Energy was -76.1%, down 135.6 points from 59.5%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did DOTUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

DOTUSD closed at 4, down 2.46% from the previous 1H candle (4.101). This drop is larger than 96% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for DOTUSD, across 40,526 candles since 2019.

How did DOTUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 135.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 59.5% to -76.1%. This is the largest of all drops on the 1H timeframe for DOTUSD on record since 2019.

Do DOTUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was DOTUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had DOTUSD at 59.5%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, DOTUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does DOTUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -76.1%, DOTUSD is 1.6 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 23.9 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -95.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -97.7%. Against this backdrop, DOTUSD (Bear Extreme, -76.1%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 19.4%. DOTUSD energy is currently below DXY by 95.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DOTUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DOTUSD on the DOTUSD overview →

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