Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
COFFEE from 3.3851 to 3.1969, down 5.56%
Market Energy Bear Critical -66.8% to Bear Extreme -78.2%, down 11.4 pts
Down candle #4 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.41%▼ 0.76%▼ 1.48%▼ 5.56%
Energy▲ 9.4▼ 7.1▼ 0.1▼ 11.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.41%▼ 0.76%▼ 1.48%▼ 5.56%▲ 9.4▼ 7.1▼ 0.1▼ 11.4
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 5.56% — higher than 88% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 11.4 pts — higher than 49% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme COFFEE Weekly

Sample: 718 Weekly candles from 2014-01-20 to 2026-09-28
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 19 times

▸When COFFEE is in Bear Extreme:

  • then COFFEE moved to higher Market State: 19 times — 100%
  • then COFFEE moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current COFFEE market energy: -78.2%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 3.7%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 21.8%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

COFFEE · W1 · 2026-01-26 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live COFFEE chart →
Market Energy
-66.8%
Bear Critical
-78.2%
Bear Extreme
-99.6%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

COFFEE processing result: Bear Extreme after the Weekly candle closed.

Looking at the energy level, The energy level dropped -11.4%: from -66.8% now at -78.2%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 Weekly Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COFFEE price and energy show when this Weekly candle closed?

When the Weekly candle at 07:00 on 26-01-2026 closed, COFFEE was at 3.1969, down 5.56% from the previous candle (3.3851). Market Energy was -78.2%, down 11.4 points from -66.8%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did COFFEE price move on this Weekly candle, and how large is that historically?

COFFEE closed at 3.1969, down 5.56% from the previous Weekly candle (3.3851). This drop is larger than 88% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for COFFEE, across 405 candles since 2019.

How did COFFEE Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 11.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -66.8% to -78.2%. This drop is larger than 49% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for COFFEE.

Do COFFEE price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was COFFEE in on the previous Weekly candle?

The previous Weekly candle had COFFEE at -66.8%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, COFFEE moved down to a lower zone: Bear Critical → Bear Extreme.

Where does COFFEE energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -78.2%, COFFEE is 3.7 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 21.8 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -10.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -43.6%. Against this backdrop, COFFEE (Bear Extreme, -78.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -85.2%. COFFEE (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COFFEE.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COFFEE on the COFFEE overview →

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