Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
COCOA from 2,418.5 to 2,425, up 0.27%
Market Energy Bear Bias -56.3% to Bear Bias -44.6%, up 11.8 pts
Up candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 2.66%▼ 1.71%▲ 1.26%▲ 0.27%
Energy▼ 16.0▼ 9.4▲ 13.5▲ 11.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 2.66%▼ 1.71%▲ 1.26%▲ 0.27%▼ 16.0▼ 9.4▲ 13.5▲ 11.8
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.27% — higher than 6% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 11.8 pts — higher than 51% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias COCOA Weekly

Sample: 596 Weekly candles from 2013-01-14 to 2026-09-28
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 52 times

▸When COCOA is in Bear Bias:

  • then COCOA moved to higher Market State: 29 times — 55.8%
  • then COCOA moved to lower Market State: 23 times — 44.2%

▸Current COCOA market energy: -44.58%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 23.7%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 15.42%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

COCOA · W1 · 2021-04-19 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live COCOA chart →
Market Energy
-56.3%
Bear Bias
-44.6%
Bear Bias
-66.2%
Bear Critical
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the Weekly data updates, COCOA currently in the Bear Bias zone.

The market energy reading Market Energy moved from -56.3% to -44.6%, up +11.8% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 2 Weekly Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COCOA price and energy show when this Weekly candle closed?

When the Weekly candle at 07:00 on 19-04-2021 closed, COCOA was at 2,425, up 0.27% from the previous candle (2,418.5). Market Energy was -44.6%, up 11.8 points from -56.3%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did COCOA price move on this Weekly candle, and how large is that historically?

COCOA closed at 2,425, up 0.27% from the previous Weekly candle (2,418.5). This rise is larger than 6% of past rises on the Weekly timeframe for COCOA, across 156 candles since 2019.

How did COCOA Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 11.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -56.3% to -44.6%. This rise is larger than 51% of past rises on the Weekly timeframe for COCOA.

Do COCOA price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was COCOA in on the previous Weekly candle?

The previous Weekly candle had COCOA at -56.3%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does COCOA energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -44.6%, COCOA is 23.7 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 15.42 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -18.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 82.9%. Against this backdrop, COCOA (Bear Bias, -44.6%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 35.3%. COCOA (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COCOA.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COCOA on the COCOA overview →

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