Analysis

·

Candle open
Price and energy
COCOA from 3,276 to 3,095, down 5.53%
Market Energy Bull Critical 71.2% to Bear Critical -64.1%, down 135.4 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 4.20%▲ 1.94%▼ 1.06%▼ 5.53%
Energy▲ 103.9▲ 8.7▼ 14.5▼ 135.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 4.20%▲ 1.94%▼ 1.06%▼ 5.53%▲ 103.9▲ 8.7▼ 14.5▼ 135.4
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 5.53%: not enough data to rank
0%255075100%
Energy down 135.4 pts: not enough data to rank
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical COCOA Weekly

Sample: 596 Weekly candles from 2013-01-14 to 2026-09-28
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 34 times

▸When COCOA is in Bear Critical:

  • then COCOA moved to higher Market State: 27 times — 79.4%
  • then COCOA moved to lower Market State: 7 times — 20.6%

▸Current COCOA market energy: -64.12%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 4.12%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 10.38%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

COCOA · W1 · 2015-09-28 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live COCOA chart →
Market Energy
71.2%
Bull Critical
-64.1%
Bear Critical
-94.3%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Once measurement on the Weekly timeframe completes, Market COCOA in the Bear Critical energy zone.

Observing the COCOA market this session, Market Energy dropped -135.4% from the previous candle, from 71.2% to -64.1%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 Weekly Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COCOA price and energy show when this Weekly candle closed?

When the Weekly candle at 07:00 on 28-09-2015 closed, COCOA was at 3,095, down 5.53% from the previous candle (3,276). Market Energy was -64.1%, down 135.4 points from 71.2%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did COCOA price move on this Weekly candle, and how large is that historically?

COCOA closed at 3,095, down 5.53% from the previous Weekly candle (3,276).

How did COCOA Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 135.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 71.2% to -64.1%.

Do COCOA price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was COCOA in on the previous Weekly candle?

The previous Weekly candle had COCOA at 71.2%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, COCOA moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bear Critical.

Where does COCOA energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -64.1%, COCOA is 4.12 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 10.38 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -61.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -44.7%. Against this backdrop, COCOA (Bear Critical, -64.1%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 47.5%. COCOA (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COCOA.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COCOA on the COCOA overview →

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