Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
COCOA from 8,092.8 to 7,995.3, down 1.20%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 79.4% to Bear Bias -35.3%, down 114.7 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.58%▼ 0.58%▲ 0.13%▼ 1.20%
Energy▲ 2.2▼ 8.9▼ 4.8▼ 114.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.58%▼ 0.58%▲ 0.13%▼ 1.20%▲ 2.2▼ 8.9▼ 4.8▼ 114.7
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.20% — higher than 92% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 114.7 pts — higher than 99% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias COCOA 1H

Sample: 19,881 1H candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,572 times

▸When COCOA is in Bear Bias:

  • then COCOA moved to higher Market State: 891 times — 56.7%
  • then COCOA moved to lower Market State: 681 times — 43.3%

▸Current COCOA market energy: -35.28%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 14.4%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 24.72%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

COCOA · H1 · 2025-07-29 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
79.4%
Bull Extreme
-35.3%
Bear Bias
-88.0%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the 1H candle closes, Result for COCOA: the Bear Bias energy state.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system Market Energy dropped -114.7% from the previous session, from 79.4% to -35.3%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COCOA Market Energy ranged from -80.5 to +96.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COCOA price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 19:00 on 29-07-2025 closed, COCOA was at 7,995.3, down 1.2% from the previous candle (8,092.8). Market Energy was -35.3%, down 114.7 points from 79.4%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did COCOA price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

COCOA closed at 7,995.3, down 1.2% from the previous 1H candle (8,092.8). This drop is larger than 92% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for COCOA, across 16,218 candles since 2019.

How did COCOA Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 114.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 79.4% to -35.3%. This drop is larger than 99% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for COCOA.

Do COCOA price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was COCOA in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had COCOA at 79.4%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, COCOA moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bear Bias.

Where does COCOA energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -35.3%, COCOA is 14.4 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 24.72 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -4.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 81.2%. Against this backdrop, COCOA (Bear Bias, -35.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 99.8%. COCOA (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COCOA.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COCOA on the COCOA overview →

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