Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
COCOA from 5,086.05 to 5,103.45, up 0.34%
Market Energy Bull Critical 70.9% to Bull Critical 68.3%, down 2.6 pts
Up candle #2 in a row—Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 2.11%▼ 2.23%▲ 1.51%▲ 0.34%
Energy▼ 8.6▼ 14.7▼ 5.0▼ 2.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 2.11%▼ 2.23%▲ 1.51%▲ 0.34%▼ 8.6▼ 14.7▼ 5.0▼ 2.6
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.34% — higher than 14% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 2.6 pts — higher than 14% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical COCOA Daily

Sample: 2,640 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 157 times

▸When COCOA is in Bull Critical:

  • then COCOA moved to higher Market State: 50 times — 31.8%
  • then COCOA moved to lower Market State: 107 times — 68.2%

▸Current COCOA market energy: 68.28%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 6.22%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 8.28%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

COCOA · D1 · 2026-07-01 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live COCOA chart →
Market Energy
70.9%
Bull Critical
68.3%
Bull Critical
58.3%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The Bull Critical state is the result just recorded for COCOA after the Daily candle closed.

On the energy side, Market Energy moved from 70.9% to 68.3%, down -2.6% from the previous candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COCOA Market Energy ranged from +68.3 to +90.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COCOA price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 01-07-2026 closed, COCOA was at 5,103.45, up 0.34% from the previous candle (5,086.05). Market Energy was 68.3%, down 2.6 points from 70.9%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did COCOA price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

COCOA closed at 5,103.45, up 0.34% from the previous Daily candle (5,086.05). This rise is larger than 14% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for COCOA, across 1,878 candles since 2019.

How did COCOA Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 2.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 70.9% to 68.3%. This drop is larger than 14% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for COCOA.

Do COCOA price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price rose but energy fell — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was COCOA in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had COCOA at 70.9%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does COCOA energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 68.3%, COCOA is 6.22 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 8.28 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -3.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 63.2%. Against this backdrop, COCOA (Bull Critical, 68.3%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -49.9%. COCOA (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COCOA.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COCOA on the COCOA overview →

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