Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
COCOA from 2,553 to 2,524.5, down 1.12%
Market Energy Bull Critical 65.2% to Bull Bias 43.2%, down 22.1 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 1.12%▲ 1.84%▼ 0.72%▼ 1.12%
Energy▲ 39.1▲ 60.4▼ 8.4▼ 22.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 1.12%▲ 1.84%▼ 0.72%▼ 1.12%▲ 39.1▲ 60.4▼ 8.4▼ 22.1
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.12% — higher than 54% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 22.1 pts — higher than 67% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias COCOA Daily

Sample: 2,640 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 232 times

▸When COCOA is in Bull Bias:

  • then COCOA moved to higher Market State: 111 times — 47.8%
  • then COCOA moved to lower Market State: 121 times — 52.2%

▸Current COCOA market energy: 43.17%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 16.83%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 22.29%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

COCOA · D1 · 2022-01-03 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
65.2%
Bull Critical
43.2%
Bull Bias
-5.6%
Neutral
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the Daily candle completes, COCOA within Bull Bias of Market Energy.

End-of-session update for Daily, Energy delta -22.1%: Market Energy at 43.2%, previously 65.2%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COCOA Market Energy ranged from +13.3 to +73.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COCOA price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 03-01-2022 closed, COCOA was at 2,524.5, down 1.12% from the previous candle (2,553). Market Energy was 43.2%, down 22.1 points from 65.2%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did COCOA price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

COCOA closed at 2,524.5, down 1.12% from the previous Daily candle (2,553). This drop is larger than 54% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for COCOA, across 751 candles since 2019.

How did COCOA Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 22.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 65.2% to 43.2%. This drop is larger than 67% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for COCOA.

Do COCOA price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was COCOA in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had COCOA at 65.2%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, COCOA moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bull Bias.

Where does COCOA energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 43.2%, COCOA is 16.83 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 22.29 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 28.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -73.4%. Against this backdrop, COCOA (Bull Bias, 43.2%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -43.1%. COCOA (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COCOA.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COCOA on the COCOA overview →

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