Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
COCOA from 2,404.5 to 2,350, down 2.27%
Market Energy Neutral -2.4% to Bear Critical -69.5%, down 67.1 pts
Down candle #4 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.71%▼ 0.27%▼ 1.09%▼ 2.27%
Energy▼ 26.8▼ 13.3▼ 36.4▼ 67.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.71%▼ 0.27%▼ 1.09%▼ 2.27%▼ 26.8▼ 13.3▼ 36.4▼ 67.1
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 2.27% — higher than 84% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 67.1 pts — higher than 99% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical COCOA Daily

Sample: 2,640 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 138 times

▸When COCOA is in Bear Critical:

  • then COCOA moved to higher Market State: 97 times — 70.3%
  • then COCOA moved to lower Market State: 41 times — 29.7%

▸Current COCOA market energy: -69.52%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 9.52%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 4.98%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

COCOA · D1 · 2019-06-03 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live COCOA chart →
Market Energy
-2.4%
Neutral
-69.5%
Bear Critical
-56.9%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The Bear Critical zone determined for COCOA through the Daily candle data.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, Market Energy dropped -67.1% from the previous session, from -2.4% to -69.5%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COCOA Market Energy ranged from -69.5 to +47.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COCOA price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 03-06-2019 closed, COCOA was at 2,350, down 2.27% from the previous candle (2,404.5). Market Energy was -69.5%, down 67.1 points from -2.4%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did COCOA price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

COCOA closed at 2,350, down 2.27% from the previous Daily candle (2,404.5). This drop is larger than 84% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for COCOA, across 105 candles since 2019.

How did COCOA Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 67.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -2.4% to -69.5%. This drop is larger than 99% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for COCOA.

Do COCOA price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was COCOA in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had COCOA at -2.4%, Neutral — when this candle closed, COCOA moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Critical.

Where does COCOA energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -69.5%, COCOA is 9.52 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 4.98 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -86.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -34%. Against this backdrop, COCOA (Bear Critical, -69.5%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -68.8%. COCOA (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COCOA.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COCOA on the COCOA overview →

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