Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
BTCUSD from 117,358.02 to 117,016.41, down 0.29%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -75.6% to Bear Extreme -89.3%, down 13.7 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.03%▲ 0.04%▼ 1.47%▼ 0.29%
Energy▲ 6.1▲ 2.8▼ 13.7▼ 13.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.03%▲ 0.04%▼ 1.47%▼ 0.29%▲ 6.1▲ 2.8▼ 13.7▼ 13.7
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.29% — higher than 35% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 13.7 pts — higher than 67% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme BTCUSD 4H

Sample: 21,501 4H candles from 2017-01-01 to 2026-10-05
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 656 times

▸When BTCUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 656 times — 100%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current BTCUSD market energy: -89.34%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 14.84%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 10.66%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H4 · 2025-08-15 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-75.6%
Bear Extreme
-89.3%
Bear Extreme
-80.7%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

BTCUSD processing result: the Bear Extreme level after the 4H candle closed.

At the 4H session close, Market Energy dropped -13.7% from the previous candle, from -75.6% to -89.3%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -91.3 to +96.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 15-08-2025 closed, BTCUSD was at 117,016.41, down 0.29% from the previous candle (117,358.02). Market Energy was -89.3%, down 13.7 points from -75.6%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 117,016.41, down 0.29% from the previous 4H candle (117,358.02). This drop is larger than 35% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 14,513 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 13.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -75.6% to -89.3%. This drop is larger than 67% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BTCUSD at -75.6%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -89.3%, BTCUSD is 14.84 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 10.66 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -79.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -55.9%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bear Extreme, -89.3%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -29.7%. BTCUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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