Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
BTCUSD from 118,385.79 to 118,313.93, down 0.06%
Market Energy Bull Bias 34.2% to Bull Bias 22.3%, down 11.9 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.52%▲ 0.17%▼ 0.27%▼ 0.06%
Energy▲ 44.8▲ 15.4▼ 8.3▼ 11.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.52%▲ 0.17%▼ 0.27%▼ 0.06%▲ 44.8▲ 15.4▼ 8.3▼ 11.9
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.06% — higher than 8% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 11.9 pts — higher than 62% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias BTCUSD 4H

Sample: 21,500 4H candles from 2017-01-01 to 2026-10-05
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,725 times

▸When BTCUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 729 times — 42.3%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 996 times — 57.7%

▸Current BTCUSD market energy: 22.3%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 37.7%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 1.42%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H4 · 2025-07-31 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live BTCUSD chart →
Market Energy
34.2%
Bull Bias
22.3%
Bull Bias
-72.5%
Bear Critical
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 4H candle data, BTCUSD reflects the Bull Bias zone.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, A -11.9% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 22.3% (previous: 34.2%).

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 4 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -63.4 to +69.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 19:00 on 31-07-2025 closed, BTCUSD was at 118,313.93, down 0.06% from the previous candle (118,385.79). Market Energy was 22.3%, down 11.9 points from 34.2%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 118,313.93, down 0.06% from the previous 4H candle (118,385.79). This drop is larger than 8% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 14,422 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 11.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 34.2% to 22.3%. This drop is larger than 62% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BTCUSD at 34.2%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 22.3%, BTCUSD is 37.7 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 1.42 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -25.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -82.1%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bull Bias, 22.3%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 36.5%. BTCUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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