Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
BTCUSD from 57,374.19 to 56,954.21, down 0.73%
Market Energy Bear Critical -72.9% to Bear Critical -71.2%, up 1.7 pts
Down candle #4 in a row—Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 2.35%▼ 0.01%▼ 0.09%▼ 0.73%
Energy▼ 94.7▼ 27.3▲ 1.7▲ 1.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 2.35%▼ 0.01%▼ 0.09%▼ 0.73%▼ 94.7▼ 27.3▲ 1.7▲ 1.7
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.73% — higher than 63% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 1.7 pts — higher than 13% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical BTCUSD 4H

Sample: 21,501 4H candles from 2017-01-01 to 2026-10-05
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 888 times

▸When BTCUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 661 times — 74.4%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 227 times — 25.6%

▸Current BTCUSD market energy: -71.24%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 11.24%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 3.26%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H4 · 2024-07-12 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live BTCUSD chart →
Market Energy
-72.9%
Bear Critical
-71.2%
Bear Critical
-64.2%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

BTCUSD classified into Bear Critical after the 4H candle completed.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, The energy level rose +1.7%: from -72.9% now at -71.2%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -84.9 to +67.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 07:00 on 12-07-2024 closed, BTCUSD was at 56,954.21, down 0.73% from the previous candle (57,374.19). Market Energy was -71.2%, up 1.7 points from -72.9%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 56,954.21, down 0.73% from the previous 4H candle (57,374.19). This drop is larger than 63% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 12,115 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 1.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -72.9% to -71.2%. This rise is larger than 13% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price fell but energy rose — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BTCUSD at -72.9%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -71.2%, BTCUSD is 11.24 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 3.26 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -79.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 21%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bear Critical, -71.2%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -51.1%. BTCUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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