Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
BTCUSD from 68,167.12 to 66,204.06, down 2.88%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 95.2% to Bull Critical 63.5%, down 31.7 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 1.43%▲ 1.22%▼ 0.17%▼ 2.88%
Energy▲ 2.7▼ 0.7▼ 3.9▼ 31.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 1.43%▲ 1.22%▼ 0.17%▼ 2.88%▲ 2.7▼ 0.7▼ 3.9▼ 31.7
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 2.88% — higher than 95% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 31.7 pts — higher than 86% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical BTCUSD 4H

Sample: 21,489 4H candles from 2017-01-01 to 2026-10-03
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 1,066 times

▸When BTCUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 303 times — 28.4%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 763 times — 71.6%

▸Current BTCUSD market energy: 63.53%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 10.97%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 3.53%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H4 · 2024-03-05 04:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
95.2%
Bull Extreme
63.5%
Bull Critical
56.4%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, BTCUSD noted at the Bull Critical zone.

Market energy movement Market Energy reading dropped -31.7%, moving from 95.2% to 63.5% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -1.1 to +99.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 11:00 on 05-03-2024 closed, BTCUSD was at 66,204.06, down 2.88% from the previous candle (68,167.12). Market Energy was 63.5%, down 31.7 points from 95.2%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 66,204.06, down 2.88% from the previous 4H candle (68,167.12). This drop is larger than 95% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 11,342 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 31.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 95.2% to 63.5%. This drop is larger than 86% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BTCUSD at 95.2%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, BTCUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 63.5%, BTCUSD is 10.97 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 3.53 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -48%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -63.8%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bull Critical, 63.5%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -20.9%. BTCUSD energy is currently above DXY by 84.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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